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Daily EUR/USD Analysis; Is the Market Preparing a Sudden Shockwave?

Daily EUR/USD Analysis; Is the Market Preparing a Sudden Shockwave?

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Key Points:

  • The EURUSD pair on the 4-hour timeframe remains within a bearish structure; the recent aggressive move to the downside and the filling of the price gap have preserved the dominance of the sell scenario in line with the prevailing trend;
  • On the 4-hour timeframe, price entry into the Order Block and the collection of Buy Side Liquidity, in case of a close returning inside the range, could activate a reversal setup targeting $1.1760;
  • On the 1-hour timeframe, the formation of three lower lows within the shadow of a Pin Bar and the reaction to the Order Block have strengthened the probability of a short-term bullish correction;
  • In the EURUSD pair, the mid-term bias remains bearish; however, a short-term bullish correction will be likely if price stabilizes above $1.1783. Price reaction to the $1.1760 level and the quality of candle closes are the main drivers of the market’s next scenario.

During the trading session of February 24, 2026, the EURUSD pair, following an aggressive bearish move on lower timeframes, has entered a corrective phase and is displaying certain signs of liquidity collection.

On the 4-hour timeframe, price behavior around the price gap area and Order Blocks indicates a confrontation between the continuation of the bearish trend scenario and the possibility of a temporary bullish correction forming.

Daily EURUSD Analysis on the 4-Hour Timeframe (H4)

On the 4-hour timeframe, after an aggressive move to the downside, price has filled the created price gap and remains within the context of the prevailing bearish market trend. However, recent price behavior may signal the completion of a short-term bearish correction and the beginning of a bullish corrective move; particularly if:

  • Price moves upward;
  • It enters the Order Block area;
  • It collects Buy Side Liquidity;
  • And once again returns inside the range with a candle close.

Such behavior can be evaluated within the framework of a reversal strategy.

EURUSD analysis on the 4-hour timeframe February 24, 2026
Entry into the Order Block area on the EURUSD price chart on February 24, 2026

EURUSD Analysis on the 1-Hour Timeframe (H1)

On the 1-hour timeframe, price has entered the Order Block area, collected liquidity, and registered three lower lows within the shadow of a Pin Bar candle. Additionally, a confirming candlestick pattern has formed, which can be considered as supplementary confirmation for entry.

Moreover, the key level of $1.1783 holds particular significance. If:

  • The current candle closes positively;
  • It closes above its previous candle.
EURUSD review on February 24, 2026
Entry into the Order Block area and liquidity collection on the 1-hour EURUSD timeframe on February 24, 2026

EURUSD Analysis on the 15-Minute Timeframe (M15)

On the 15-minute timeframe, price has experienced an aggressive move to the downside. Price behavior during trading sessions can play a decisive role.

If during the London Session price moves downward, enters the Order Block area, and signs of weakness in the bearish trend are observed, there is a possibility of a bullish reversal during the New York Session and a bullish Distribution Move aimed at collecting Buy Side Liquidity.

Conversely, if a bullish move forms during the London Session, the market may enter a bearish phase during the New York Session and target Sell Side Liquidity. Additionally, in case of an increase in the Dollar Index, EURUSD may target lower levels and, after collecting liquidity, enter the Rejection Block area.

EURUSD 15-minute timeframe price chart on February 24, 2026
Probability of entry into the Rejection Block area on the EURUSD chart on February 24, 2026

Conclusion

The overall structure of EURUSD on the 4-hour timeframe remains bearish, and priority continues to favor sell scenarios in alignment with the prevailing trend. However, signs of intermarket divergence and price reactions to Order Blocks on lower timeframes reinforce the probability of a short-term bullish correction.

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